Ridin' The Waiver

2025 Season

Week 17

Last scored: Week 17

Playoff Calculator

Real-time playoff odds powered by advanced simulations

Format: Top 6 teams advance

Playoffs: Start Week 15

Tiebreaker: points_for

Weeks:

Playoffs Have Started!

Showing final regular season playoff odds (Week 14)

Current Seed	Team	Record	Points For	Playoff %	Proj. Wins
1 BYE	OBRightKanobi	11-3 0 games left	1628.2	100.0% 100.0% bye	11.0 (11-11)
Seed Probabilities Seed 1: 100.0% Most Likely Seed: #1 Clinching & Elimination Magic Number: Clinched! Playoff spot secured Clinched playoff spot Clinched first round bye Schedule Analysis Remaining Games: 0 Best Case: 11-3 Worst Case: 11-3 Points Against: 1418.2 Who to Root For Focus on your own game!
2 BYE	iammclargehuge	10-4 0 games left	1721.6	100.0% 100.0% bye	10.0 (10-10)
Seed Probabilities Seed 2: 100.0% Most Likely Seed: #2 Clinching & Elimination Magic Number: Clinched! Playoff spot secured Clinched playoff spot Clinched first round bye Schedule Analysis Remaining Games: 0 Best Case: 10-4 Worst Case: 10-4 Points Against: 1572.5 Who to Root For Focus on your own game!
3	aaronhill	10-4 0 games left	1567.2	100.0%	10.0 (10-10)
Seed Probabilities Seed 3: 100.0% Most Likely Seed: #3 Clinching & Elimination Magic Number: Clinched! Playoff spot secured Clinched playoff spot Schedule Analysis Remaining Games: 0 Best Case: 10-4 Worst Case: 10-4 Points Against: 1357.7 Who to Root For Focus on your own game!
4	bcdub49	9-5 0 games left	1592.1	100.0%	9.0 (9-9)
Seed Probabilities Seed 4: 100.0% Most Likely Seed: #4 Clinching & Elimination Magic Number: Clinched! Playoff spot secured Clinched playoff spot Schedule Analysis Remaining Games: 0 Best Case: 9-5 Worst Case: 9-5 Points Against: 1460.1 Who to Root For Focus on your own game!
5	danr2049	8-6 0 games left	1533.8	100.0%	8.0 (8-8)
Seed Probabilities Seed 5: 100.0% Most Likely Seed: #5 Clinching & Elimination Magic Number: Clinched! Playoff spot secured Clinched playoff spot Schedule Analysis Remaining Games: 0 Best Case: 8-6 Worst Case: 8-6 Points Against: 1534.8 Who to Root For Focus on your own game!
6	denty425	6-8 0 games left	1659.9	100.0%	6.0 (6-6)
Seed Probabilities Seed 6: 100.0% Most Likely Seed: #6 Clinching & Elimination Magic Number: Clinched! Playoff spot secured Clinched playoff spot Schedule Analysis Remaining Games: 0 Best Case: 6-8 Worst Case: 6-8 Points Against: 1600.6 Who to Root For Focus on your own game!
7	PtownWarren	6-8 0 games left	1527.3	0.0%	6.0 (6-6)
Seed Probabilities Most Likely Seed: #0 Clinching & Elimination Status: Eliminated Mathematically eliminated from playoff contention No clinch scenarios available Schedule Analysis Remaining Games: 0 Best Case: 6-8 Worst Case: 6-8 Points Against: 1586.1 Who to Root For Focus on your own game!
8	colglj	6-8 0 games left	1428.9	0.0%	6.0 (6-6)
Seed Probabilities Most Likely Seed: #0 Clinching & Elimination Status: Eliminated Mathematically eliminated from playoff contention No clinch scenarios available Schedule Analysis Remaining Games: 0 Best Case: 6-8 Worst Case: 6-8 Points Against: 1505.5 Who to Root For Focus on your own game!
9	chenry3	5-9 0 games left	1553.7	0.0%	5.0 (5-5)
Seed Probabilities Most Likely Seed: #0 Clinching & Elimination Status: Eliminated Mathematically eliminated from playoff contention Mathematically Eliminated 8 teams already have more than your maximum possible 5 wins No clinch scenarios available Schedule Analysis Remaining Games: 0 Best Case: 5-9 Worst Case: 5-9 Points Against: 1667.8 Who to Root For Focus on your own game!
10	ryanvhill	5-9 0 games left	1420.0	0.0%	5.0 (5-5)
Seed Probabilities Most Likely Seed: #0 Clinching & Elimination Status: Eliminated Mathematically eliminated from playoff contention Mathematically Eliminated 8 teams already have more than your maximum possible 5 wins No clinch scenarios available Schedule Analysis Remaining Games: 0 Best Case: 5-9 Worst Case: 5-9 Points Against: 1590.1 Who to Root For Focus on your own game!
11	JonnyWarren22	4-10 0 games left	1470.4	0.0%	4.0 (4-4)
Seed Probabilities Most Likely Seed: #0 Clinching & Elimination Status: Eliminated Mathematically eliminated from playoff contention Mathematically Eliminated 10 teams already have more than your maximum possible 4 wins No clinch scenarios available Schedule Analysis Remaining Games: 0 Best Case: 4-10 Worst Case: 4-10 Points Against: 1635.4 Who to Root For Focus on your own game!
12	khoa4101	4-10 0 games left	1365.9	0.0%	4.0 (4-4)
Seed Probabilities Most Likely Seed: #0 Clinching & Elimination Status: Eliminated Mathematically eliminated from playoff contention Mathematically Eliminated 10 teams already have more than your maximum possible 4 wins No clinch scenarios available Schedule Analysis Remaining Games: 0 Best Case: 4-10 Worst Case: 4-10 Points Against: 1540.1 Who to Root For Focus on your own game!

OBRightKanobi

11-3 • 0 left

BYE

100.0%

playoff

11.0

proj wins

1628.2

pts for

Seed Probabilities

Seed 1:

100.0%

iammclargehuge

10-4 • 0 left

BYE

100.0%

playoff

10.0

proj wins

1721.6

pts for

Seed Probabilities

Seed 2:

100.0%

aaronhill

10-4 • 0 left

100.0%

playoff

10.0

proj wins

1567.2

pts for

Seed Probabilities

Seed 3:

100.0%

bcdub49

9-5 • 0 left

100.0%

playoff

9.0

proj wins

1592.1

pts for

Seed Probabilities

Seed 4:

100.0%

danr2049

8-6 • 0 left

100.0%

playoff

8.0

proj wins

1533.8

pts for

Seed Probabilities

Seed 5:

100.0%

denty425

6-8 • 0 left

100.0%

playoff

6.0

proj wins

1659.9

pts for

Seed Probabilities

Seed 6:

100.0%

PtownWarren

6-8 • 0 left

0.0%

playoff

6.0

proj wins

1527.3

pts for

Seed Probabilities

colglj

6-8 • 0 left

0.0%

playoff

6.0

proj wins

1428.9

pts for

Seed Probabilities

chenry3

5-9 • 0 left

0.0%

playoff

5.0

proj wins

1553.7

pts for

Seed Probabilities

ryanvhill

5-9 • 0 left

0.0%

playoff

5.0

proj wins

1420.0

pts for

Seed Probabilities

JonnyWarren22

4-10 • 0 left

0.0%

playoff

4.0

proj wins

1470.4

pts for

Seed Probabilities

khoa4101

4-10 • 0 left

0.0%

playoff

4.0

proj wins

1365.9

pts for

Seed Probabilities

Understanding Your Playoff Chances

Playoff %

Calculated via Monte Carlo simulations accounting for team strength, schedule, and variance.

Magic Number

Wins needed to mathematically clinch a playoff spot, regardless of other outcomes.

Playoff Scenarios

Schedule-validated paths showing exactly what needs to happen. All scenarios verified for feasibility.

Current Seed

Your standings rank based on current record and tiebreaker rules.

Projected Wins

Expected final record based on team performance and schedule strength (with range).

Mathematical Elimination

Only appears when playoff qualification is impossible, even with perfect remaining results.

Advanced Algorithm: Playoff scenarios use max-flow network analysis to validate that all requirements can be satisfied simultaneously given the actual game schedule. Impossible scenarios are automatically filtered out.

Ridin' The Waiver

Playoff Calculator

Playoffs Have Started!

Seed Probabilities

Clinching & Elimination

Schedule Analysis

Who to Root For

Seed Probabilities

Clinching & Elimination

Schedule Analysis

Who to Root For

Seed Probabilities

Clinching & Elimination

Schedule Analysis

Who to Root For

Seed Probabilities

Clinching & Elimination

Schedule Analysis

Who to Root For

Seed Probabilities

Clinching & Elimination

Schedule Analysis

Who to Root For

Seed Probabilities

Clinching & Elimination

Schedule Analysis

Who to Root For

Seed Probabilities

Clinching & Elimination

Schedule Analysis

Who to Root For

Seed Probabilities

Clinching & Elimination

Schedule Analysis

Who to Root For

Seed Probabilities

Clinching & Elimination

Schedule Analysis

Who to Root For

Seed Probabilities

Clinching & Elimination

Schedule Analysis

Who to Root For

Seed Probabilities

Clinching & Elimination

Schedule Analysis

Who to Root For

Seed Probabilities

Clinching & Elimination

Schedule Analysis

Who to Root For

OBRightKanobi

Seed Probabilities

iammclargehuge

Seed Probabilities

aaronhill

Seed Probabilities

bcdub49

Seed Probabilities

danr2049

Seed Probabilities

denty425

Seed Probabilities

PtownWarren

Seed Probabilities

colglj

Seed Probabilities

chenry3

Seed Probabilities

ryanvhill

Seed Probabilities

JonnyWarren22

Seed Probabilities

khoa4101

Seed Probabilities

Understanding Your Playoff Chances

Playoff %

Magic Number

Playoff Scenarios

Current Seed