Ridin' The Waiver
2025 Season
Week 10
Last scored: Week 10
Playoff Calculator
Real-time playoff odds powered by advanced simulations
Monte Carlo Simulations
Thousands of season simulations accounting for team strength and schedule
Schedule Validation
Max-flow algorithms verify scenario feasibility against actual matchups
Detailed Scenarios
Specific paths showing exactly what needs to happen for playoff qualification
Format: Top 6 teams advance
Playoffs: Start Week 15
Tiebreaker: points_for
Viewing Historical Week 7
Playoff odds as they appeared after Week 7
|
Current Seed
|
Team | Record |
Points For
|
Playoff % | Proj. Wins | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
BYE
|
OBRightKanobi
|
6-1
7 games left
|
862.6
|
99.9%
80.6% bye
|
11.6
(6-13)
|
|
|
||||||
|
2
BYE
|
aaronhill
|
6-1
7 games left
|
834.9
|
99.7%
55.0% bye
|
10.5
(6-13)
|
|
|
||||||
|
3
|
iammclargehuge
|
4-3
7 games left
|
889.2
|
99.0%
44.5% bye
|
8.3
(4-11)
|
|
|
||||||
|
4
|
denty425
|
4-3
7 games left
|
850.8
|
96.6%
17.9% bye
|
8.0
(4-11)
|
|
|
||||||
|
5
|
colglj
|
4-3
7 games left
|
761.6
|
73.3%
1.2% bye
|
8.3
(4-11)
|
|
|
||||||
|
6
|
danr2049
|
4-3
7 games left
|
714.3
|
24.6%
0.2% bye
|
8.6
(4-11)
|
|
|
||||||
|
7
|
bcdub49
|
3-4
7 games left
|
782.2
|
59.2%
0.5% bye
|
6.4
(3-10)
|
|
|
||||||
|
8
|
ryanvhill
|
3-4
7 games left
|
730.3
|
17.5%
0.1% bye
|
6.7
(3-10)
|
|
|
||||||
|
9
|
khoa4101
|
3-4
7 games left
|
700.8
|
10.3%
0.0% bye
|
5.6
(3-10)
|
|
|
||||||
|
10
|
JonnyWarren22
|
2-5
7 games left
|
745.5
|
11.6%
0.0% bye
|
4.8
(2-9)
|
|
|
||||||
|
11
|
PtownWarren
|
2-5
7 games left
|
732.0
|
3.5%
|
5.4
(2-9)
|
|
|
||||||
|
12
|
chenry3
|
1-6
7 games left
|
751.5
|
4.8%
|
3.2
(1-8)
|
|
|
||||||
1
BYE
OBRightKanobi
6-1 • 7 left
99.9%
playoff
11.6
proj wins
862.6
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
56.4%
Seed 2:
24.2%
Seed 3:
13.7%
Seed 4:
4.7%
Seed 5:
0.8%
Seed 6:
0.2%
Magic Number
4 wins
To clinch playoff spot
2
BYE
aaronhill
6-1 • 7 left
99.7%
playoff
10.5
proj wins
834.9
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
25.3%
Seed 2:
29.8%
Seed 3:
25.7%
Seed 4:
14.4%
Seed 5:
3.5%
Seed 6:
1.0%
Magic Number
4 wins
To clinch playoff spot
3
iammclargehuge
4-3 • 7 left
99.0%
playoff
8.3
proj wins
889.2
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
13.4%
Seed 2:
31.1%
Seed 3:
30.4%
Seed 4:
16.7%
Seed 5:
5.6%
Seed 6:
1.8%
Magic Number
6 wins
To clinch playoff spot
4
denty425
4-3 • 7 left
96.6%
playoff
8.0
proj wins
850.8
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
4.7%
Seed 2:
13.2%
Seed 3:
22.2%
Seed 4:
37.1%
Seed 5:
13.8%
Seed 6:
5.5%
Magic Number
6 wins
To clinch playoff spot
5
colglj
4-3 • 7 left
73.3%
playoff
8.3
proj wins
761.6
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
0.1%
Seed 2:
1.0%
Seed 3:
4.8%
Seed 4:
13.6%
Seed 5:
29.8%
Seed 6:
24.0%
Magic Number
6 wins
To clinch playoff spot
6
danr2049
4-3 • 7 left
24.6%
playoff
8.6
proj wins
714.3
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 2:
0.2%
Seed 3:
0.6%
Seed 4:
2.6%
Seed 5:
8.0%
Seed 6:
13.2%
Magic Number
6 wins
To clinch playoff spot
7
bcdub49
3-4 • 7 left
59.2%
playoff
6.4
proj wins
782.2
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 2:
0.4%
Seed 3:
1.9%
Seed 4:
7.4%
Seed 5:
23.8%
Seed 6:
25.6%
Playoff Scenarios
6-8
(16.1% chance)
• You must win 3 of 7 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 80.5 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 52.8 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 107.1 points
• denty425: outscore them by 68.6 points
• colglj: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 20.6)
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 67.9)
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 51.9)
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 81.4)
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 36.7)
• PtownWarren: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 50.2)
• chenry3: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 30.7)
7-7
(14.6% chance)
• You must win 4 of 7 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 6 of 7 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 6 of 7 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 80.5 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 52.8 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 107.1 points
• denty425: outscore them by 68.6 points
• colglj: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 20.6)
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 67.9)
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 51.9)
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 81.4)
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 36.7)
• PtownWarren: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 50.2)
• chenry3: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 30.7)
8-6
(11.4% chance)
• You must win 5 of 7 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 80.5 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 52.8 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 107.1 points
• denty425: outscore them by 68.6 points
• colglj: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 20.6)
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 67.9)
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 51.9)
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 81.4)
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 36.7)
• PtownWarren: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 50.2)
• chenry3: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 30.7)
9-5
(9.3% chance)
• You must win 6 of 7 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 80.5 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 52.8 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 107.1 points
• denty425: outscore them by 68.6 points
• colglj: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 20.6)
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 67.9)
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 51.9)
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 81.4)
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 36.7)
• PtownWarren: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 50.2)
10-4
(7.8% chance)
• You must win 7 of 7 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 80.5 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 52.8 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 107.1 points
• denty425: outscore them by 68.6 points
• colglj: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 20.6)
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 67.9)
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 51.9)
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 81.4)
8
ryanvhill
3-4 • 7 left
17.5%
playoff
6.7
proj wins
730.3
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 3:
0.3%
Seed 4:
1.5%
Seed 5:
5.9%
Seed 6:
9.8%
Playoff Scenarios
6-8
(4.8% chance)
• You must win 3 of 7 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 132.4 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 104.7 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 158.9 points
• denty425: outscore them by 120.5 points
• colglj: outscore them by 31.4 points
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 16.1)
• bcdub49: outscore them by 52.0 points
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 29.6)
• JonnyWarren22: outscore them by 15.3 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 1.8 points
• chenry3: outscore them by 21.2 points
7-7
(4.3% chance)
• You must win 4 of 7 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 6 of 7 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 6 of 7 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 132.4 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 104.7 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 158.9 points
• denty425: outscore them by 120.5 points
• colglj: outscore them by 31.4 points
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 16.1)
• bcdub49: outscore them by 52.0 points
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 29.6)
• JonnyWarren22: outscore them by 15.3 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 1.8 points
• chenry3: outscore them by 21.2 points
8-6
(3.4% chance)
• You must win 5 of 7 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 132.4 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 104.7 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 158.9 points
• denty425: outscore them by 120.5 points
• colglj: outscore them by 31.4 points
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 16.1)
• bcdub49: outscore them by 52.0 points
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 29.6)
• JonnyWarren22: outscore them by 15.3 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 1.8 points
• chenry3: outscore them by 21.2 points
9-5
(2.8% chance)
• You must win 6 of 7 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 132.4 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 104.7 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 158.9 points
• denty425: outscore them by 120.5 points
• colglj: outscore them by 31.4 points
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 16.1)
• bcdub49: outscore them by 52.0 points
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 29.6)
• JonnyWarren22: outscore them by 15.3 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 1.8 points
10-4
(2.3% chance)
• You must win 7 of 7 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 132.4 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 104.7 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 158.9 points
• denty425: outscore them by 120.5 points
• colglj: outscore them by 31.4 points
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 16.1)
• bcdub49: outscore them by 52.0 points
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 29.6)
9
khoa4101
3-4 • 7 left
10.3%
playoff
5.6
proj wins
700.8
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 3:
0.1%
Seed 4:
0.8%
Seed 5:
3.2%
Seed 6:
6.1%
Playoff Scenarios
6-8
(2.8% chance)
• You must win 3 of 7 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 161.9 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 134.3 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 188.5 points
• denty425: outscore them by 150.1 points
• colglj: outscore them by 60.9 points
• danr2049: outscore them by 13.6 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 81.5 points
• ryanvhill: outscore them by 29.7 points
• JonnyWarren22: outscore them by 44.8 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 31.4 points
• chenry3: outscore them by 50.8 points
7-7
(2.5% chance)
• You must win 4 of 7 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 6 of 7 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 6 of 7 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 161.9 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 134.3 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 188.5 points
• denty425: outscore them by 150.1 points
• colglj: outscore them by 60.9 points
• danr2049: outscore them by 13.6 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 81.5 points
• ryanvhill: outscore them by 29.7 points
• JonnyWarren22: outscore them by 44.8 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 31.4 points
• chenry3: outscore them by 50.8 points
8-6
(2.0% chance)
• You must win 5 of 7 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 161.9 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 134.3 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 188.5 points
• denty425: outscore them by 150.1 points
• colglj: outscore them by 60.9 points
• danr2049: outscore them by 13.6 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 81.5 points
• ryanvhill: outscore them by 29.7 points
• JonnyWarren22: outscore them by 44.8 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 31.4 points
• chenry3: outscore them by 50.8 points
9-5
(1.6% chance)
• You must win 6 of 7 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 161.9 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 134.3 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 188.5 points
• denty425: outscore them by 150.1 points
• colglj: outscore them by 60.9 points
• danr2049: outscore them by 13.6 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 81.5 points
• ryanvhill: outscore them by 29.7 points
• JonnyWarren22: outscore them by 44.8 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 31.4 points
10-4
(1.4% chance)
• You must win 7 of 7 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 161.9 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 134.3 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 188.5 points
• denty425: outscore them by 150.1 points
• colglj: outscore them by 60.9 points
• danr2049: outscore them by 13.6 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 81.5 points
• ryanvhill: outscore them by 29.7 points
10
JonnyWarren22
2-5 • 7 left
11.6%
playoff
4.8
proj wins
745.5
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 3:
0.1%
Seed 4:
0.9%
Seed 5:
3.6%
Seed 6:
7.0%
Playoff Scenarios
6-8
(4.4% chance)
• You must win 4 of 7 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 117.2 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 89.6 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 143.8 points
• denty425: outscore them by 105.4 points
• colglj: outscore them by 16.2 points
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 31.2)
• bcdub49: outscore them by 36.8 points
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 15.2)
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 44.7)
• PtownWarren: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 13.5)
• chenry3: outscore them by 6.1 points
7-7
(3.0% chance)
• You must win 5 of 7 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 6 of 7 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 6 of 7 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 117.2 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 89.6 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 143.8 points
• denty425: outscore them by 105.4 points
• colglj: outscore them by 16.2 points
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 31.2)
• bcdub49: outscore them by 36.8 points
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 15.2)
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 44.7)
• PtownWarren: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 13.5)
• chenry3: outscore them by 6.1 points
8-6
(2.3% chance)
• You must win 6 of 7 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 117.2 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 89.6 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 143.8 points
• denty425: outscore them by 105.4 points
• colglj: outscore them by 16.2 points
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 31.2)
• bcdub49: outscore them by 36.8 points
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 15.2)
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 44.7)
• PtownWarren: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 13.5)
• chenry3: outscore them by 6.1 points
9-5
(1.8% chance)
• You must win 7 of 7 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 117.2 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 89.6 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 143.8 points
• denty425: outscore them by 105.4 points
• colglj: outscore them by 16.2 points
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 31.2)
• bcdub49: outscore them by 36.8 points
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 15.2)
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 44.7)
• PtownWarren: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 13.5)
11
PtownWarren
2-5 • 7 left
3.5%
playoff
5.4
proj wins
732.0
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 4:
0.1%
Seed 5:
0.9%
Seed 6:
2.4%
Playoff Scenarios
6-8
(1.3% chance)
• You must win 4 of 7 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 130.7 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 103.0 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 157.2 points
• denty425: outscore them by 118.8 points
• colglj: outscore them by 29.7 points
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 17.8)
• bcdub49: outscore them by 50.3 points
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 1.7)
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 31.2)
• JonnyWarren22: outscore them by 13.6 points
• chenry3: outscore them by 19.6 points
7-7
(0.9% chance)
• You must win 5 of 7 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 6 of 7 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 6 of 7 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 130.7 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 103.0 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 157.2 points
• denty425: outscore them by 118.8 points
• colglj: outscore them by 29.7 points
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 17.8)
• bcdub49: outscore them by 50.3 points
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 1.7)
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 31.2)
• JonnyWarren22: outscore them by 13.6 points
• chenry3: outscore them by 19.6 points
8-6
(0.7% chance)
• You must win 6 of 7 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 130.7 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 103.0 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 157.2 points
• denty425: outscore them by 118.8 points
• colglj: outscore them by 29.7 points
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 17.8)
• bcdub49: outscore them by 50.3 points
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 1.7)
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 31.2)
• JonnyWarren22: outscore them by 13.6 points
• chenry3: outscore them by 19.6 points
9-5
(0.5% chance)
• You must win 7 of 7 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 130.7 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 103.0 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 157.2 points
• denty425: outscore them by 118.8 points
• colglj: outscore them by 29.7 points
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 17.8)
• bcdub49: outscore them by 50.3 points
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 1.7)
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 31.2)
• JonnyWarren22: outscore them by 13.6 points
12
chenry3
1-6 • 7 left
4.8%
playoff
3.2
proj wins
751.5
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 4:
0.2%
Seed 5:
1.1%
Seed 6:
3.5%
Playoff Scenarios
6-8
(2.2% chance)
• You must win 5 of 7 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 111.2 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 83.6 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 137.8 points
• denty425: outscore them by 99.4 points
• colglj: outscore them by 10.2 points
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 37.2)
• bcdub49: outscore them by 30.8 points
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 21.1)
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 50.7)
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 6.0)
• PtownWarren: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 19.5)
7-7
(1.5% chance)
• You must win 6 of 7 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 6 of 7 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 6 of 7 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 4 of 7 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 111.2 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 83.6 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 137.8 points
• denty425: outscore them by 99.4 points
• colglj: outscore them by 10.2 points
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 37.2)
• bcdub49: outscore them by 30.8 points
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 21.1)
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 50.7)
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 6.0)
• PtownWarren: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 19.5)
8-6
(1.1% chance)
• You must win 7 of 7 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 5 of 7 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 3 of 7 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 2 of 7 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 1 of 7 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 111.2 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 83.6 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 137.8 points
• denty425: outscore them by 99.4 points
• colglj: outscore them by 10.2 points
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 37.2)
• bcdub49: outscore them by 30.8 points
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 21.1)
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 50.7)
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 6.0)
• PtownWarren: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 19.5)
Understanding Your Playoff Chances
Playoff %
Calculated via Monte Carlo simulations accounting for team strength, schedule, and variance.
Magic Number
Wins needed to mathematically clinch a playoff spot, regardless of other outcomes.
Playoff Scenarios
Schedule-validated paths showing exactly what needs to happen. All scenarios verified for feasibility.
Current Seed
Your standings rank based on current record and tiebreaker rules.
Projected Wins
Expected final record based on team performance and schedule strength (with range).
Mathematical Elimination
Only appears when playoff qualification is impossible, even with perfect remaining results.
Advanced Algorithm: Playoff scenarios use max-flow network analysis to validate that all requirements can be satisfied simultaneously given the actual game schedule. Impossible scenarios are automatically filtered out.