Ridin' The Waiver
2025 Season
Week 10
Last scored: Week 10
Playoff Calculator
Real-time playoff odds powered by advanced simulations
Monte Carlo Simulations
Thousands of season simulations accounting for team strength and schedule
Schedule Validation
Max-flow algorithms verify scenario feasibility against actual matchups
Detailed Scenarios
Specific paths showing exactly what needs to happen for playoff qualification
Format: Top 6 teams advance
Playoffs: Start Week 15
Tiebreaker: points_for
Viewing Historical Week 3
Playoff odds as they appeared after Week 3
|
Current Seed
|
Team | Record |
Points For
|
Playoff % | Proj. Wins | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
BYE
|
iammclargehuge
|
3-0
11 games left
|
376.9
|
99.9%
65.4% bye
|
12.4
(3-14)
|
|
|
||||||
|
2
BYE
|
OBRightKanobi
|
3-0
11 games left
|
368.3
|
99.7%
47.2% bye
|
12.3
(3-14)
|
|
|
||||||
|
3
|
aaronhill
|
3-0
11 games left
|
349.8
|
92.9%
15.0% bye
|
10.9
(3-14)
|
|
|
||||||
|
4
|
denty425
|
2-1
11 games left
|
381.2
|
100.0%
58.2% bye
|
10.8
(2-13)
|
|
|
||||||
|
5
|
bcdub49
|
2-1
11 games left
|
362.9
|
95.9%
12.8% bye
|
9.8
(2-13)
|
|
|
||||||
|
6
|
khoa4101
|
2-1
11 games left
|
311.9
|
34.8%
0.3% bye
|
7.5
(2-13)
|
|
|
||||||
|
7
|
chenry3
|
1-2
11 games left
|
337.4
|
47.5%
1.0% bye
|
5.8
(1-12)
|
|
|
||||||
|
8
|
PtownWarren
|
1-2
11 games left
|
326.4
|
23.5%
|
7.4
(1-12)
|
|
|
||||||
|
9
|
colglj
|
1-2
11 games left
|
311.2
|
5.6%
|
6.9
(1-12)
|
|
|
||||||
|
10
|
danr2049
|
0-3
11 games left
|
285.3
|
0.2%
|
3.5
(0-11)
|
|
|
||||||
|
11
|
ryanvhill
|
0-3
11 games left
|
244.3
|
0.0%
|
3.3
(0-11)
|
|
|
||||||
|
12
|
JonnyWarren22
|
0-3
11 games left
|
231.1
|
0.0%
|
2.5
(0-11)
|
|
|
||||||
1
BYE
iammclargehuge
3-0 • 11 left
99.9%
playoff
12.4
proj wins
376.9
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
39.2%
Seed 2:
26.2%
Seed 3:
18.3%
Seed 4:
10.6%
Seed 5:
4.5%
Seed 6:
0.9%
Magic Number
9 wins
To clinch playoff spot
2
BYE
OBRightKanobi
3-0 • 11 left
99.7%
playoff
12.3
proj wins
368.3
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
21.1%
Seed 2:
26.1%
Seed 3:
25.9%
Seed 4:
16.7%
Seed 5:
8.2%
Seed 6:
1.6%
Magic Number
9 wins
To clinch playoff spot
3
aaronhill
3-0 • 11 left
92.9%
playoff
10.9
proj wins
349.8
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
6.2%
Seed 2:
8.8%
Seed 3:
14.1%
Seed 4:
22.8%
Seed 5:
28.8%
Seed 6:
12.1%
Magic Number
9 wins
To clinch playoff spot
4
denty425
2-1 • 11 left
100.0%
playoff
10.8
proj wins
381.2
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
28.7%
Seed 2:
29.5%
Seed 3:
22.8%
Seed 4:
12.1%
Seed 5:
5.6%
Seed 6:
1.2%
Magic Number
10 wins
To clinch playoff spot
5
bcdub49
2-1 • 11 left
95.9%
playoff
9.8
proj wins
362.9
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
4.4%
Seed 2:
8.3%
Seed 3:
15.9%
Seed 4:
29.0%
Seed 5:
28.3%
Seed 6:
10.0%
Magic Number
10 wins
To clinch playoff spot
6
khoa4101
2-1 • 11 left
34.8%
playoff
7.5
proj wins
311.9
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 2:
0.2%
Seed 3:
1.0%
Seed 4:
2.9%
Seed 5:
8.0%
Seed 6:
22.7%
Magic Number
10 wins
To clinch playoff spot
7
chenry3
1-2 • 11 left
47.5%
playoff
5.8
proj wins
337.4
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
0.3%
Seed 2:
0.7%
Seed 3:
1.9%
Seed 4:
5.2%
Seed 5:
11.9%
Seed 6:
27.5%
Playoff Scenarios
7-7
(14.2% chance)
• You must win 6 of 11 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 7 of 11 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 7 of 11 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 7 of 11 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 39.6 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 30.9 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 12.5 points
• denty425: outscore them by 43.9 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 25.5 points
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 25.6)
• PtownWarren: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 11.1)
• colglj: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 26.2)
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 52.1)
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 93.1)
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 106.4)
8-6
(10.5% chance)
• You must win 7 of 11 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 39.6 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 30.9 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 12.5 points
• denty425: outscore them by 43.9 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 25.5 points
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 25.6)
• PtownWarren: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 11.1)
• colglj: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 26.2)
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 52.1)
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 93.1)
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 106.4)
9-5
(7.8% chance)
• You must win 8 of 11 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 39.6 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 30.9 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 12.5 points
• denty425: outscore them by 43.9 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 25.5 points
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 25.6)
• PtownWarren: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 11.1)
• colglj: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 26.2)
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 52.1)
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 93.1)
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 106.4)
10-4
(5.8% chance)
• You must win 9 of 11 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 39.6 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 30.9 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 12.5 points
• denty425: outscore them by 43.9 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 25.5 points
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 25.6)
• PtownWarren: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 11.1)
• colglj: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 26.2)
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 52.1)
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 93.1)
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 106.4)
11-3
(5.0% chance)
• You must win 10 of 11 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 39.6 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 30.9 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 12.5 points
• denty425: outscore them by 43.9 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 25.5 points
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 25.6)
• PtownWarren: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 11.1)
• colglj: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 26.2)
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 52.1)
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 93.1)
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 106.4)
12-2
(4.2% chance)
• You must win 11 of 11 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 39.6 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 30.9 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 12.5 points
• denty425: outscore them by 43.9 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 25.5 points
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 25.6)
• PtownWarren: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 11.1)
• colglj: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 26.2)
8
PtownWarren
1-2 • 11 left
23.5%
playoff
7.4
proj wins
326.4
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 4:
0.6%
Seed 5:
3.9%
Seed 6:
19.0%
Playoff Scenarios
7-7
(7.0% chance)
• You must win 6 of 11 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 7 of 11 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 7 of 11 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 7 of 11 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 50.7 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 42.0 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 23.5 points
• denty425: outscore them by 54.9 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 36.6 points
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 14.5)
• chenry3: outscore them by 11.2 points
• colglj: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 15.2)
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 41.1)
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 82.0)
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 95.3)
8-6
(5.2% chance)
• You must win 7 of 11 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 50.7 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 42.0 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 23.5 points
• denty425: outscore them by 54.9 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 36.6 points
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 14.5)
• chenry3: outscore them by 11.2 points
• colglj: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 15.2)
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 41.1)
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 82.0)
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 95.3)
9-5
(3.9% chance)
• You must win 8 of 11 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 50.7 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 42.0 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 23.5 points
• denty425: outscore them by 54.9 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 36.6 points
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 14.5)
• chenry3: outscore them by 11.2 points
• colglj: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 15.2)
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 41.1)
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 82.0)
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 95.3)
10-4
(2.9% chance)
• You must win 9 of 11 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 50.7 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 42.0 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 23.5 points
• denty425: outscore them by 54.9 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 36.6 points
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 14.5)
• chenry3: outscore them by 11.2 points
• colglj: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 15.2)
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 41.1)
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 82.0)
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 95.3)
11-3
(2.5% chance)
• You must win 10 of 11 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 50.7 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 42.0 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 23.5 points
• denty425: outscore them by 54.9 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 36.6 points
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 14.5)
• chenry3: outscore them by 11.2 points
• colglj: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 15.2)
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 41.1)
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 82.0)
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 95.3)
12-2
(2.1% chance)
• You must win 11 of 11 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 50.7 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 42.0 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 23.5 points
• denty425: outscore them by 54.9 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 36.6 points
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 14.5)
• chenry3: outscore them by 11.2 points
• colglj: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 15.2)
9
colglj
1-2 • 11 left
5.6%
playoff
6.9
proj wins
311.2
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 5:
0.7%
Seed 6:
4.8%
Playoff Scenarios
7-7
(1.7% chance)
• You must win 6 of 11 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 7 of 11 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 7 of 11 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 7 of 11 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 65.8 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 57.2 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 38.7 points
• denty425: outscore them by 70.1 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 51.8 points
• khoa4101: outscore them by 0.8 points
• chenry3: outscore them by 26.3 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 15.3 points
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 25.9)
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 66.8)
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 80.1)
8-6
(1.2% chance)
• You must win 7 of 11 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 65.8 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 57.2 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 38.7 points
• denty425: outscore them by 70.1 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 51.8 points
• khoa4101: outscore them by 0.8 points
• chenry3: outscore them by 26.3 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 15.3 points
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 25.9)
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 66.8)
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 80.1)
9-5
(0.9% chance)
• You must win 8 of 11 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 65.8 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 57.2 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 38.7 points
• denty425: outscore them by 70.1 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 51.8 points
• khoa4101: outscore them by 0.8 points
• chenry3: outscore them by 26.3 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 15.3 points
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 25.9)
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 66.8)
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 80.1)
10-4
(0.7% chance)
• You must win 9 of 11 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 65.8 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 57.2 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 38.7 points
• denty425: outscore them by 70.1 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 51.8 points
• khoa4101: outscore them by 0.8 points
• chenry3: outscore them by 26.3 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 15.3 points
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 25.9)
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 66.8)
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 80.1)
11-3
(0.6% chance)
• You must win 10 of 11 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 65.8 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 57.2 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 38.7 points
• denty425: outscore them by 70.1 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 51.8 points
• khoa4101: outscore them by 0.8 points
• chenry3: outscore them by 26.3 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 15.3 points
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 25.9)
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 66.8)
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 80.1)
12-2
(0.5% chance)
• You must win 11 of 11 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 65.8 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 57.2 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 38.7 points
• denty425: outscore them by 70.1 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 51.8 points
• khoa4101: outscore them by 0.8 points
• chenry3: outscore them by 26.3 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 15.3 points
10
danr2049
0-3 • 11 left
0.2%
playoff
3.5
proj wins
285.3
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 6:
0.2%
Playoff Scenarios
7-7
(0.1% chance)
• You must win 7 of 11 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 7 of 11 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 7 of 11 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 7 of 11 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 91.7 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 83.1 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 64.6 points
• denty425: outscore them by 96.0 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 77.7 points
• khoa4101: outscore them by 26.7 points
• chenry3: outscore them by 52.2 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 41.2 points
• colglj: outscore them by 26.0 points
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 41.0)
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 54.2)
8-6
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 8 of 11 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 91.7 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 83.1 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 64.6 points
• denty425: outscore them by 96.0 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 77.7 points
• khoa4101: outscore them by 26.7 points
• chenry3: outscore them by 52.2 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 41.2 points
• colglj: outscore them by 26.0 points
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 41.0)
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 54.2)
9-5
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 9 of 11 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 91.7 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 83.1 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 64.6 points
• denty425: outscore them by 96.0 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 77.7 points
• khoa4101: outscore them by 26.7 points
• chenry3: outscore them by 52.2 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 41.2 points
• colglj: outscore them by 26.0 points
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 41.0)
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 54.2)
10-4
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 10 of 11 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 91.7 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 83.1 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 64.6 points
• denty425: outscore them by 96.0 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 77.7 points
• khoa4101: outscore them by 26.7 points
• chenry3: outscore them by 52.2 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 41.2 points
• colglj: outscore them by 26.0 points
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 41.0)
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 54.2)
11-3
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 11 of 11 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 91.7 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 83.1 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 64.6 points
• denty425: outscore them by 96.0 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 77.7 points
• khoa4101: outscore them by 26.7 points
• chenry3: outscore them by 52.2 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 41.2 points
• colglj: outscore them by 26.0 points
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 41.0)
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 54.2)
11
ryanvhill
0-3 • 11 left
0.0%
playoff
3.3
proj wins
244.3
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Playoff Scenarios
7-7
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 7 of 11 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 7 of 11 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 7 of 11 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 7 of 11 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 132.7 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 124.0 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 105.6 points
• denty425: outscore them by 137.0 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 118.6 points
• khoa4101: outscore them by 67.6 points
• chenry3: outscore them by 93.2 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 82.1 points
• colglj: outscore them by 66.9 points
• danr2049: outscore them by 41.1 points
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 13.3)
8-6
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 8 of 11 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 132.7 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 124.0 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 105.6 points
• denty425: outscore them by 137.0 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 118.6 points
• khoa4101: outscore them by 67.6 points
• chenry3: outscore them by 93.2 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 82.1 points
• colglj: outscore them by 66.9 points
• danr2049: outscore them by 41.1 points
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 13.3)
9-5
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 9 of 11 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 132.7 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 124.0 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 105.6 points
• denty425: outscore them by 137.0 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 118.6 points
• khoa4101: outscore them by 67.6 points
• chenry3: outscore them by 93.2 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 82.1 points
• colglj: outscore them by 66.9 points
• danr2049: outscore them by 41.1 points
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 13.3)
10-4
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 10 of 11 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 132.7 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 124.0 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 105.6 points
• denty425: outscore them by 137.0 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 118.6 points
• khoa4101: outscore them by 67.6 points
• chenry3: outscore them by 93.2 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 82.1 points
• colglj: outscore them by 66.9 points
• danr2049: outscore them by 41.1 points
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 13.3)
11-3
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 11 of 11 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 132.7 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 124.0 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 105.6 points
• denty425: outscore them by 137.0 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 118.6 points
• khoa4101: outscore them by 67.6 points
• chenry3: outscore them by 93.2 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 82.1 points
• colglj: outscore them by 66.9 points
• danr2049: outscore them by 41.1 points
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 13.3)
12
JonnyWarren22
0-3 • 11 left
0.0%
playoff
2.5
proj wins
231.1
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Playoff Scenarios
7-7
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 7 of 11 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 7 of 11 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 7 of 11 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 7 of 11 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 146.0 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 137.3 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 118.9 points
• denty425: outscore them by 150.3 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 131.9 points
• khoa4101: outscore them by 80.9 points
• chenry3: outscore them by 106.5 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 95.4 points
• colglj: outscore them by 80.2 points
• danr2049: outscore them by 54.3 points
• ryanvhill: outscore them by 13.4 points
8-6
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 8 of 11 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 6 of 11 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 146.0 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 137.3 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 118.9 points
• denty425: outscore them by 150.3 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 131.9 points
• khoa4101: outscore them by 80.9 points
• chenry3: outscore them by 106.5 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 95.4 points
• colglj: outscore them by 80.2 points
• danr2049: outscore them by 54.3 points
• ryanvhill: outscore them by 13.4 points
9-5
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 9 of 11 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 5 of 11 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 146.0 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 137.3 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 118.9 points
• denty425: outscore them by 150.3 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 131.9 points
• khoa4101: outscore them by 80.9 points
• chenry3: outscore them by 106.5 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 95.4 points
• colglj: outscore them by 80.2 points
• danr2049: outscore them by 54.3 points
• ryanvhill: outscore them by 13.4 points
10-4
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 10 of 11 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 4 of 11 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 146.0 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 137.3 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 118.9 points
• denty425: outscore them by 150.3 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 131.9 points
• khoa4101: outscore them by 80.9 points
• chenry3: outscore them by 106.5 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 95.4 points
• colglj: outscore them by 80.2 points
• danr2049: outscore them by 54.3 points
• ryanvhill: outscore them by 13.4 points
11-3
(0.0% chance)
• You must win 11 of 11 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 3 of 11 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 2 of 11 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 1 of 11 remaining
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 146.0 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 137.3 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 118.9 points
• denty425: outscore them by 150.3 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 131.9 points
• khoa4101: outscore them by 80.9 points
• chenry3: outscore them by 106.5 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 95.4 points
• colglj: outscore them by 80.2 points
• danr2049: outscore them by 54.3 points
• ryanvhill: outscore them by 13.4 points
Understanding Your Playoff Chances
Playoff %
Calculated via Monte Carlo simulations accounting for team strength, schedule, and variance.
Magic Number
Wins needed to mathematically clinch a playoff spot, regardless of other outcomes.
Playoff Scenarios
Schedule-validated paths showing exactly what needs to happen. All scenarios verified for feasibility.
Current Seed
Your standings rank based on current record and tiebreaker rules.
Projected Wins
Expected final record based on team performance and schedule strength (with range).
Mathematical Elimination
Only appears when playoff qualification is impossible, even with perfect remaining results.
Advanced Algorithm: Playoff scenarios use max-flow network analysis to validate that all requirements can be satisfied simultaneously given the actual game schedule. Impossible scenarios are automatically filtered out.