Ridin' The Waiver
2025 Season
Week 10
Last scored: Week 10
Playoff Calculator
Real-time playoff odds powered by advanced simulations
Monte Carlo Simulations
Thousands of season simulations accounting for team strength and schedule
Schedule Validation
Max-flow algorithms verify scenario feasibility against actual matchups
Detailed Scenarios
Specific paths showing exactly what needs to happen for playoff qualification
Format: Top 6 teams advance
Playoffs: Start Week 15
Tiebreaker: points_for
Viewing Historical Week 6
Playoff odds as they appeared after Week 6
|
Current Seed
|
Team | Record |
Points For
|
Playoff % | Proj. Wins | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
BYE
|
OBRightKanobi
|
5-1
8 games left
|
719.1
|
99.6%
65.8% bye
|
10.4
(5-13)
|
|
|
||||||
|
2
BYE
|
aaronhill
|
5-1
8 games left
|
709.3
|
98.8%
48.1% bye
|
10.0
(5-13)
|
|
|
||||||
|
3
|
iammclargehuge
|
4-2
8 games left
|
759.2
|
99.6%
69.6% bye
|
8.9
(4-12)
|
|
|
||||||
|
4
|
colglj
|
4-2
8 games left
|
667.6
|
86.7%
6.7% bye
|
9.9
(4-12)
|
|
|
||||||
|
5
|
denty425
|
3-3
8 games left
|
704.6
|
89.3%
8.6% bye
|
7.5
(3-11)
|
|
|
||||||
|
6
|
khoa4101
|
3-3
8 games left
|
617.2
|
24.6%
0.3% bye
|
6.1
(3-11)
|
|
|
||||||
|
7
|
danr2049
|
3-3
8 games left
|
611.7
|
18.8%
0.2% bye
|
8.2
(3-11)
|
|
|
||||||
|
8
|
JonnyWarren22
|
2-4
8 games left
|
649.6
|
28.1%
0.4% bye
|
6.0
(2-10)
|
|
|
||||||
|
9
|
bcdub49
|
2-4
8 games left
|
645.8
|
24.3%
0.2% bye
|
4.9
(2-10)
|
|
|
||||||
|
10
|
PtownWarren
|
2-4
8 games left
|
633.5
|
9.8%
0.1% bye
|
6.0
(2-10)
|
|
|
||||||
|
11
|
ryanvhill
|
2-4
8 games left
|
606.5
|
7.4%
0.0% bye
|
6.0
(2-10)
|
|
|
||||||
|
12
|
chenry3
|
1-5
8 games left
|
644.0
|
13.0%
0.1% bye
|
3.4
(1-9)
|
|
|
||||||
1
BYE
OBRightKanobi
5-1 • 8 left
99.6%
playoff
10.4
proj wins
719.1
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
35.9%
Seed 2:
29.9%
Seed 3:
21.6%
Seed 4:
8.5%
Seed 5:
2.8%
Seed 6:
0.8%
Magic Number
6 wins
To clinch playoff spot
2
BYE
aaronhill
5-1 • 8 left
98.8%
playoff
10.0
proj wins
709.3
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
23.1%
Seed 2:
25.0%
Seed 3:
28.5%
Seed 4:
14.2%
Seed 5:
5.8%
Seed 6:
2.2%
Magic Number
6 wins
To clinch playoff spot
3
iammclargehuge
4-2 • 8 left
99.6%
playoff
8.9
proj wins
759.2
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
36.7%
Seed 2:
32.9%
Seed 3:
18.2%
Seed 4:
8.0%
Seed 5:
2.8%
Seed 6:
1.0%
Magic Number
7 wins
To clinch playoff spot
4
colglj
4-2 • 8 left
86.7%
playoff
9.9
proj wins
667.6
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
1.8%
Seed 2:
4.8%
Seed 3:
11.3%
Seed 4:
26.2%
Seed 5:
28.4%
Seed 6:
14.0%
Magic Number
7 wins
To clinch playoff spot
5
denty425
3-3 • 8 left
89.3%
playoff
7.5
proj wins
704.6
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
2.2%
Seed 2:
6.4%
Seed 3:
16.4%
Seed 4:
29.6%
Seed 5:
23.6%
Seed 6:
11.1%
Magic Number
8 wins
To clinch playoff spot
6
khoa4101
3-3 • 8 left
24.6%
playoff
6.1
proj wins
617.2
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 2:
0.3%
Seed 3:
1.0%
Seed 4:
3.1%
Seed 5:
7.4%
Seed 6:
12.8%
Magic Number
8 wins
To clinch playoff spot
7
danr2049
3-3 • 8 left
18.8%
playoff
8.2
proj wins
611.7
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 2:
0.1%
Seed 3:
0.6%
Seed 4:
2.1%
Seed 5:
5.3%
Seed 6:
10.5%
Magic Number
8 wins
To clinch playoff spot
Playoff Scenarios
7-7
(5.7% chance)
• You must win 4 of 8 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 6 of 8 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 6 of 8 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 107.5 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 97.7 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 147.5 points
• colglj: outscore them by 56.0 points
• denty425: outscore them by 93.0 points
• khoa4101: outscore them by 5.5 points
• JonnyWarren22: outscore them by 38.0 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 34.2 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 21.9 points
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 5.2)
• chenry3: outscore them by 32.4 points
8-6
(4.2% chance)
• You must win 5 of 8 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 107.5 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 97.7 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 147.5 points
• colglj: outscore them by 56.0 points
• denty425: outscore them by 93.0 points
• khoa4101: outscore them by 5.5 points
• JonnyWarren22: outscore them by 38.0 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 34.2 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 21.9 points
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 5.2)
• chenry3: outscore them by 32.4 points
9-5
(3.3% chance)
• You must win 6 of 8 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 107.5 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 97.7 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 147.5 points
• colglj: outscore them by 56.0 points
• denty425: outscore them by 93.0 points
• khoa4101: outscore them by 5.5 points
• JonnyWarren22: outscore them by 38.0 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 34.2 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 21.9 points
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 5.2)
• chenry3: outscore them by 32.4 points
10-4
(3.0% chance)
• You must win 7 of 8 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 107.5 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 97.7 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 147.5 points
• colglj: outscore them by 56.0 points
• denty425: outscore them by 93.0 points
• khoa4101: outscore them by 5.5 points
• JonnyWarren22: outscore them by 38.0 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 34.2 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 21.9 points
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 5.2)
11-3
(2.6% chance)
• You must win 8 of 8 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 107.5 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 97.7 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 147.5 points
• colglj: outscore them by 56.0 points
• denty425: outscore them by 93.0 points
• khoa4101: outscore them by 5.5 points
8
JonnyWarren22
2-4 • 8 left
28.1%
playoff
6.0
proj wins
649.6
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 2:
0.3%
Seed 3:
1.1%
Seed 4:
3.6%
Seed 5:
8.8%
Seed 6:
14.2%
Playoff Scenarios
7-7
(10.0% chance)
• You must win 5 of 8 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 6 of 8 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 6 of 8 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 69.6 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 59.8 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 109.7 points
• colglj: outscore them by 18.1 points
• denty425: outscore them by 55.1 points
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 32.4)
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 37.9)
• bcdub49: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 3.8)
• PtownWarren: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 16.1)
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 43.1)
• chenry3: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 5.6)
8-6
(7.4% chance)
• You must win 6 of 8 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 69.6 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 59.8 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 109.7 points
• colglj: outscore them by 18.1 points
• denty425: outscore them by 55.1 points
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 32.4)
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 37.9)
• bcdub49: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 3.8)
• PtownWarren: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 16.1)
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 43.1)
• chenry3: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 5.6)
9-5
(5.7% chance)
• You must win 7 of 8 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 69.6 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 59.8 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 109.7 points
• colglj: outscore them by 18.1 points
• denty425: outscore them by 55.1 points
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 32.4)
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 37.9)
• bcdub49: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 3.8)
• PtownWarren: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 16.1)
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 43.1)
• chenry3: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 5.6)
10-4
(5.0% chance)
• You must win 8 of 8 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 69.6 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 59.8 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 109.7 points
• colglj: outscore them by 18.1 points
• denty425: outscore them by 55.1 points
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 32.4)
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 37.9)
• bcdub49: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 3.8)
• PtownWarren: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 16.1)
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 43.1)
9
bcdub49
2-4 • 8 left
24.3%
playoff
4.9
proj wins
645.8
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 2:
0.2%
Seed 3:
0.5%
Seed 4:
2.1%
Seed 5:
6.6%
Seed 6:
14.9%
Playoff Scenarios
7-7
(8.6% chance)
• You must win 5 of 8 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 6 of 8 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 6 of 8 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 73.4 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 63.6 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 113.5 points
• colglj: outscore them by 21.9 points
• denty425: outscore them by 58.9 points
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 28.7)
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 34.1)
• JonnyWarren22: outscore them by 3.9 points
• PtownWarren: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 12.3)
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 39.3)
• chenry3: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 1.8)
8-6
(6.4% chance)
• You must win 6 of 8 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 73.4 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 63.6 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 113.5 points
• colglj: outscore them by 21.9 points
• denty425: outscore them by 58.9 points
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 28.7)
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 34.1)
• JonnyWarren22: outscore them by 3.9 points
• PtownWarren: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 12.3)
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 39.3)
• chenry3: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 1.8)
9-5
(5.0% chance)
• You must win 7 of 8 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 73.4 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 63.6 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 113.5 points
• colglj: outscore them by 21.9 points
• denty425: outscore them by 58.9 points
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 28.7)
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 34.1)
• JonnyWarren22: outscore them by 3.9 points
• PtownWarren: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 12.3)
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 39.3)
• chenry3: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 1.8)
10-4
(4.3% chance)
• You must win 8 of 8 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 73.4 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 63.6 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 113.5 points
• colglj: outscore them by 21.9 points
• denty425: outscore them by 58.9 points
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 28.7)
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 34.1)
• JonnyWarren22: outscore them by 3.9 points
• PtownWarren: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 12.3)
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 39.3)
10
PtownWarren
2-4 • 8 left
9.8%
playoff
6.0
proj wins
633.5
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 3:
0.1%
Seed 4:
0.7%
Seed 5:
2.5%
Seed 6:
6.5%
Playoff Scenarios
7-7
(3.5% chance)
• You must win 5 of 8 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 6 of 8 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 6 of 8 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 85.7 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 75.9 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 125.7 points
• colglj: outscore them by 34.2 points
• denty425: outscore them by 71.2 points
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 16.4)
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 21.8)
• JonnyWarren22: outscore them by 16.2 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 12.4 points
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 27.1)
• chenry3: outscore them by 10.6 points
8-6
(2.6% chance)
• You must win 6 of 8 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 85.7 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 75.9 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 125.7 points
• colglj: outscore them by 34.2 points
• denty425: outscore them by 71.2 points
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 16.4)
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 21.8)
• JonnyWarren22: outscore them by 16.2 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 12.4 points
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 27.1)
• chenry3: outscore them by 10.6 points
9-5
(2.0% chance)
• You must win 7 of 8 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 85.7 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 75.9 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 125.7 points
• colglj: outscore them by 34.2 points
• denty425: outscore them by 71.2 points
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 16.4)
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 21.8)
• JonnyWarren22: outscore them by 16.2 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 12.4 points
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 27.1)
• chenry3: outscore them by 10.6 points
10-4
(1.8% chance)
• You must win 8 of 8 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 85.7 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 75.9 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 125.7 points
• colglj: outscore them by 34.2 points
• denty425: outscore them by 71.2 points
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 16.4)
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 21.8)
• JonnyWarren22: outscore them by 16.2 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 12.4 points
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 27.1)
11
ryanvhill
2-4 • 8 left
7.4%
playoff
6.0
proj wins
606.5
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 3:
0.1%
Seed 4:
0.5%
Seed 5:
2.1%
Seed 6:
4.6%
Playoff Scenarios
7-7
(2.6% chance)
• You must win 5 of 8 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 6 of 8 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 6 of 8 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 112.7 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 102.9 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 152.8 points
• colglj: outscore them by 61.3 points
• denty425: outscore them by 98.2 points
• khoa4101: outscore them by 10.8 points
• danr2049: outscore them by 5.3 points
• JonnyWarren22: outscore them by 43.2 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 39.4 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 27.2 points
• chenry3: outscore them by 37.7 points
8-6
(1.9% chance)
• You must win 6 of 8 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 112.7 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 102.9 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 152.8 points
• colglj: outscore them by 61.3 points
• denty425: outscore them by 98.2 points
• khoa4101: outscore them by 10.8 points
• danr2049: outscore them by 5.3 points
• JonnyWarren22: outscore them by 43.2 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 39.4 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 27.2 points
• chenry3: outscore them by 37.7 points
9-5
(1.5% chance)
• You must win 7 of 8 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 112.7 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 102.9 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 152.8 points
• colglj: outscore them by 61.3 points
• denty425: outscore them by 98.2 points
• khoa4101: outscore them by 10.8 points
• danr2049: outscore them by 5.3 points
• JonnyWarren22: outscore them by 43.2 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 39.4 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 27.2 points
• chenry3: outscore them by 37.7 points
10-4
(1.3% chance)
• You must win 8 of 8 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 112.7 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 102.9 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 152.8 points
• colglj: outscore them by 61.3 points
• denty425: outscore them by 98.2 points
• khoa4101: outscore them by 10.8 points
• danr2049: outscore them by 5.3 points
• JonnyWarren22: outscore them by 43.2 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 39.4 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 27.2 points
12
chenry3
1-5 • 8 left
13.0%
playoff
3.4
proj wins
644.0
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 3:
0.4%
Seed 4:
1.3%
Seed 5:
3.8%
Seed 6:
7.5%
Playoff Scenarios
7-7
(5.7% chance)
• You must win 6 of 8 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 6 of 8 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 6 of 8 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 75.2 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 65.4 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 115.2 points
• colglj: outscore them by 23.7 points
• denty425: outscore them by 60.7 points
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 26.9)
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 32.3)
• JonnyWarren22: outscore them by 5.7 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 1.9 points
• PtownWarren: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 10.5)
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 37.6)
8-6
(4.2% chance)
• You must win 7 of 8 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 5 of 8 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 75.2 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 65.4 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 115.2 points
• colglj: outscore them by 23.7 points
• denty425: outscore them by 60.7 points
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 26.9)
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 32.3)
• JonnyWarren22: outscore them by 5.7 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 1.9 points
• PtownWarren: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 10.5)
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 37.6)
9-5
(3.1% chance)
• You must win 8 of 8 remaining games
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• aaronhill must lose at least 4 of 8 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 3 of 8 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 2 of 8 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 1 of 8 remaining
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 75.2 points
• aaronhill: outscore them by 65.4 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 115.2 points
• colglj: outscore them by 23.7 points
• denty425: outscore them by 60.7 points
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 26.9)
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 32.3)
• JonnyWarren22: outscore them by 5.7 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 1.9 points
• PtownWarren: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 10.5)
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 37.6)
Understanding Your Playoff Chances
Playoff %
Calculated via Monte Carlo simulations accounting for team strength, schedule, and variance.
Magic Number
Wins needed to mathematically clinch a playoff spot, regardless of other outcomes.
Playoff Scenarios
Schedule-validated paths showing exactly what needs to happen. All scenarios verified for feasibility.
Current Seed
Your standings rank based on current record and tiebreaker rules.
Projected Wins
Expected final record based on team performance and schedule strength (with range).
Mathematical Elimination
Only appears when playoff qualification is impossible, even with perfect remaining results.
Advanced Algorithm: Playoff scenarios use max-flow network analysis to validate that all requirements can be satisfied simultaneously given the actual game schedule. Impossible scenarios are automatically filtered out.