Ridin' The Waiver
2025 Season
Week
17
Last scored: Week
17
Playoff Calculator
Real-time playoff odds powered by advanced simulations
Monte Carlo Simulations
Thousands of season simulations accounting for team strength and schedule
Schedule Validation
Max-flow algorithms verify scenario feasibility against actual matchups
Detailed Scenarios
Specific paths showing exactly what needs to happen for playoff qualification
Format: Top 6 teams advance
Playoffs: Start Week 15
Tiebreaker: points_for
Playoffs Have Started!
Showing final regular season playoff odds (Week 14)
Viewing Historical Week 8
Playoff odds as they appeared after Week 8
|
Current Seed
|
Team | Record |
Points For
|
Playoff % | Proj. Wins | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
BYE
|
aaronhill
|
7-1
6 games left
|
958.3
|
100.0%
66.6% bye
|
11.5
(7-13)
|
|
|
||||||
|
2
BYE
|
OBRightKanobi
|
7-1
6 games left
|
953.3
|
100.0%
69.9% bye
|
11.5
(7-13)
|
|
|
||||||
|
3
|
iammclargehuge
|
5-3
6 games left
|
1073.7
|
99.9%
56.9% bye
|
8.8
(5-11)
|
|
|
||||||
|
4
|
denty425
|
4-4
6 games left
|
984.6
|
94.1%
5.6% bye
|
7.5
(4-10)
|
|
|
||||||
|
5
|
bcdub49
|
4-4
6 games left
|
894.9
|
73.5%
0.7% bye
|
7.6
(4-10)
|
|
|
||||||
|
6
|
colglj
|
4-4
6 games left
|
837.7
|
45.0%
0.2% bye
|
6.8
(4-10)
|
|
|
||||||
|
7
|
danr2049
|
4-4
6 games left
|
827.5
|
27.5%
0.0% bye
|
7.4
(4-10)
|
|
|
||||||
|
8
|
PtownWarren
|
3-5
6 games left
|
874.5
|
22.5%
0.0% bye
|
6.6
(3-9)
|
|
|
||||||
|
9
|
ryanvhill
|
3-5
6 games left
|
807.7
|
9.5%
|
5.4
(3-9)
|
|
|
||||||
|
10
|
khoa4101
|
3-5
6 games left
|
788.1
|
6.6%
|
4.6
(3-9)
|
|
|
||||||
|
11
|
chenry3
|
2-6
6 games left
|
894.2
|
18.8%
|
4.7
(2-8)
|
|
|
||||||
|
12
|
JonnyWarren22
|
2-6
6 games left
|
800.8
|
2.7%
|
4.0
(2-8)
|
|
|
||||||
1
BYE
aaronhill
7-1 • 6 left
100.0%
playoff
11.5
proj wins
958.3
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
38.3%
Seed 2:
28.3%
Seed 3:
24.2%
Seed 4:
7.5%
Seed 5:
1.5%
Seed 6:
0.1%
Magic Number
3 wins
To clinch playoff spot
2
BYE
OBRightKanobi
7-1 • 6 left
100.0%
playoff
11.5
proj wins
953.3
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
41.1%
Seed 2:
28.8%
Seed 3:
23.8%
Seed 4:
4.9%
Seed 5:
1.2%
Seed 6:
0.2%
Magic Number
3 wins
To clinch playoff spot
3
iammclargehuge
5-3 • 6 left
99.9%
playoff
8.8
proj wins
1073.7
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
19.6%
Seed 2:
37.3%
Seed 3:
33.5%
Seed 4:
7.2%
Seed 5:
1.8%
Seed 6:
0.6%
Magic Number
5 wins
To clinch playoff spot
4
denty425
4-4 • 6 left
94.1%
playoff
7.5
proj wins
984.6
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 1:
0.8%
Seed 2:
4.8%
Seed 3:
14.0%
Seed 4:
50.0%
Seed 5:
17.3%
Seed 6:
7.2%
Magic Number
6 wins
To clinch playoff spot
5
bcdub49
4-4 • 6 left
73.5%
playoff
7.6
proj wins
894.9
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 2:
0.6%
Seed 3:
2.8%
Seed 4:
15.4%
Seed 5:
35.8%
Seed 6:
18.8%
Magic Number
6 wins
To clinch playoff spot
6
colglj
4-4 • 6 left
45.0%
playoff
6.8
proj wins
837.7
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 2:
0.2%
Seed 3:
0.9%
Seed 4:
6.8%
Seed 5:
14.2%
Seed 6:
22.9%
Magic Number
6 wins
To clinch playoff spot
7
danr2049
4-4 • 6 left
27.5%
playoff
7.4
proj wins
827.5
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 3:
0.3%
Seed 4:
3.2%
Seed 5:
8.4%
Seed 6:
15.5%
Magic Number
6 wins
To clinch playoff spot
Playoff Scenarios
7-7
(7.4% chance)
• You must win 3 of 6 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• aaronhill: outscore them by 130.9 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 125.9 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 246.3 points
• denty425: outscore them by 157.2 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 67.5 points
• colglj: outscore them by 10.3 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 47.0 points
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 19.8)
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 39.4)
• chenry3: outscore them by 66.8 points
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 26.8)
6-8
(5.5% chance)
• You must win 2 of 6 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 246.3 points
• denty425: outscore them by 157.2 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 67.5 points
• colglj: outscore them by 10.3 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 47.0 points
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 19.8)
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 39.4)
• chenry3: outscore them by 66.8 points
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 26.8)
8-6
(5.5% chance)
• You must win 4 of 6 remaining games
• aaronhill must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• aaronhill: outscore them by 130.9 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 125.9 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 246.3 points
• denty425: outscore them by 157.2 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 67.5 points
• colglj: outscore them by 10.3 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 47.0 points
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 19.8)
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 39.4)
• chenry3: outscore them by 66.8 points
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 26.8)
9-5
(4.8% chance)
• You must win 5 of 6 remaining games
• aaronhill must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• aaronhill: outscore them by 130.9 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 125.9 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 246.3 points
• denty425: outscore them by 157.2 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 67.5 points
• colglj: outscore them by 10.3 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 47.0 points
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 19.8)
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 39.4)
10-4
(4.4% chance)
• You must win 6 of 6 remaining games
• aaronhill must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• aaronhill: outscore them by 130.9 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 125.9 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 246.3 points
• denty425: outscore them by 157.2 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 67.5 points
• colglj: outscore them by 10.3 points
8
PtownWarren
3-5 • 6 left
22.5%
playoff
6.6
proj wins
874.5
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 3:
0.2%
Seed 4:
2.4%
Seed 5:
7.6%
Seed 6:
12.2%
Playoff Scenarios
6-8
(8.2% chance)
• You must win 3 of 6 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 199.4 points
• denty425: outscore them by 110.3 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 20.5 points
• colglj: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 36.8)
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 46.9)
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 66.7)
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 86.3)
• chenry3: outscore them by 19.8 points
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 73.7)
7-7
(6.1% chance)
• You must win 4 of 6 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• aaronhill: outscore them by 84.0 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 78.9 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 199.4 points
• denty425: outscore them by 110.3 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 20.5 points
• colglj: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 36.8)
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 46.9)
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 66.7)
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 86.3)
• chenry3: outscore them by 19.8 points
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 73.7)
8-6
(4.5% chance)
• You must win 5 of 6 remaining games
• aaronhill must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• aaronhill: outscore them by 84.0 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 78.9 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 199.4 points
• denty425: outscore them by 110.3 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 20.5 points
• colglj: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 36.8)
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 46.9)
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 66.7)
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 86.3)
• chenry3: outscore them by 19.8 points
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 73.7)
9-5
(3.7% chance)
• You must win 6 of 6 remaining games
• aaronhill must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• aaronhill: outscore them by 84.0 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 78.9 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 199.4 points
• denty425: outscore them by 110.3 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 20.5 points
• colglj: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 36.8)
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 46.9)
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 66.7)
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 86.3)
9
ryanvhill
3-5 • 6 left
9.5%
playoff
5.4
proj wins
807.7
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 4:
0.8%
Seed 5:
2.9%
Seed 6:
5.8%
Playoff Scenarios
6-8
(3.5% chance)
• You must win 3 of 6 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 266.1 points
• denty425: outscore them by 177.0 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 87.3 points
• colglj: outscore them by 30.1 points
• danr2049: outscore them by 19.9 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 66.8 points
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 19.6)
• chenry3: outscore them by 86.6 points
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 7.0)
7-7
(2.6% chance)
• You must win 4 of 6 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• aaronhill: outscore them by 150.7 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 145.7 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 266.1 points
• denty425: outscore them by 177.0 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 87.3 points
• colglj: outscore them by 30.1 points
• danr2049: outscore them by 19.9 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 66.8 points
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 19.6)
• chenry3: outscore them by 86.6 points
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 7.0)
8-6
(1.9% chance)
• You must win 5 of 6 remaining games
• aaronhill must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• aaronhill: outscore them by 150.7 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 145.7 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 266.1 points
• denty425: outscore them by 177.0 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 87.3 points
• colglj: outscore them by 30.1 points
• danr2049: outscore them by 19.9 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 66.8 points
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 19.6)
• chenry3: outscore them by 86.6 points
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 7.0)
9-5
(1.6% chance)
• You must win 6 of 6 remaining games
• aaronhill must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• aaronhill: outscore them by 150.7 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 145.7 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 266.1 points
• denty425: outscore them by 177.0 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 87.3 points
• colglj: outscore them by 30.1 points
• danr2049: outscore them by 19.9 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 66.8 points
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 19.6)
10
khoa4101
3-5 • 6 left
6.6%
playoff
4.6
proj wins
788.1
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 4:
0.4%
Seed 5:
2.1%
Seed 6:
4.0%
Playoff Scenarios
6-8
(2.4% chance)
• You must win 3 of 6 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 285.7 points
• denty425: outscore them by 196.6 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 106.9 points
• colglj: outscore them by 49.7 points
• danr2049: outscore them by 39.5 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 86.4 points
• ryanvhill: outscore them by 19.7 points
• chenry3: outscore them by 106.1 points
• JonnyWarren22: outscore them by 12.7 points
7-7
(1.8% chance)
• You must win 4 of 6 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• aaronhill: outscore them by 170.3 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 165.2 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 285.7 points
• denty425: outscore them by 196.6 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 106.9 points
• colglj: outscore them by 49.7 points
• danr2049: outscore them by 39.5 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 86.4 points
• ryanvhill: outscore them by 19.7 points
• chenry3: outscore them by 106.1 points
• JonnyWarren22: outscore them by 12.7 points
8-6
(1.3% chance)
• You must win 5 of 6 remaining games
• aaronhill must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• aaronhill: outscore them by 170.3 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 165.2 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 285.7 points
• denty425: outscore them by 196.6 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 106.9 points
• colglj: outscore them by 49.7 points
• danr2049: outscore them by 39.5 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 86.4 points
• ryanvhill: outscore them by 19.7 points
• chenry3: outscore them by 106.1 points
• JonnyWarren22: outscore them by 12.7 points
9-5
(1.1% chance)
• You must win 6 of 6 remaining games
• aaronhill must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• aaronhill: outscore them by 170.3 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 165.2 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 285.7 points
• denty425: outscore them by 196.6 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 106.9 points
• colglj: outscore them by 49.7 points
• danr2049: outscore them by 39.5 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 86.4 points
• ryanvhill: outscore them by 19.7 points
11
chenry3
2-6 • 6 left
18.8%
playoff
4.7
proj wins
894.2
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 3:
0.1%
Seed 4:
1.3%
Seed 5:
6.6%
Seed 6:
10.8%
Playoff Scenarios
6-8
(8.3% chance)
• You must win 4 of 6 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 179.6 points
• denty425: outscore them by 90.5 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 0.8 points
• colglj: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 56.5)
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 66.7)
• PtownWarren: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 19.7)
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 86.5)
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 106.0)
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 93.4)
7-7
(6.2% chance)
• You must win 5 of 6 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• JonnyWarren22 must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• aaronhill: outscore them by 64.3 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 59.2 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 179.6 points
• denty425: outscore them by 90.5 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 0.8 points
• colglj: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 56.5)
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 66.7)
• PtownWarren: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 19.7)
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 86.5)
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 106.0)
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 93.4)
8-6
(4.3% chance)
• You must win 6 of 6 remaining games
• aaronhill must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• aaronhill: outscore them by 64.3 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 59.2 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 179.6 points
• denty425: outscore them by 90.5 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 0.8 points
• colglj: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 56.5)
• danr2049: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 66.7)
• PtownWarren: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 19.7)
• ryanvhill: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 86.5)
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 106.0)
• JonnyWarren22: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 93.4)
12
JonnyWarren22
2-6 • 6 left
2.7%
playoff
4.0
proj wins
800.8
pts for
Seed Probabilities
Seed 5:
0.6%
Seed 6:
2.0%
Playoff Scenarios
6-8
(1.2% chance)
• You must win 4 of 6 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 273.1 points
• denty425: outscore them by 184.0 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 94.2 points
• colglj: outscore them by 37.0 points
• danr2049: outscore them by 26.9 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 73.8 points
• ryanvhill: outscore them by 7.1 points
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 12.6)
• chenry3: outscore them by 93.5 points
7-7
(0.9% chance)
• You must win 5 of 6 remaining games
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 4 of 6 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• chenry3 must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• aaronhill: outscore them by 157.7 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 152.6 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 273.1 points
• denty425: outscore them by 184.0 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 94.2 points
• colglj: outscore them by 37.0 points
• danr2049: outscore them by 26.9 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 73.8 points
• ryanvhill: outscore them by 7.1 points
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 12.6)
• chenry3: outscore them by 93.5 points
8-6
(0.6% chance)
• You must win 6 of 6 remaining games
• aaronhill must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• OBRightKanobi must lose at least 5 of 6 remaining
• iammclargehuge must lose at least 3 of 6 remaining
• denty425 must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• bcdub49 must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• colglj must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• danr2049 must lose at least 2 of 6 remaining
• PtownWarren must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• ryanvhill must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• khoa4101 must lose at least 1 of 6 remaining
• aaronhill: outscore them by 157.7 points
• OBRightKanobi: outscore them by 152.6 points
• iammclargehuge: outscore them by 273.1 points
• denty425: outscore them by 184.0 points
• bcdub49: outscore them by 94.2 points
• colglj: outscore them by 37.0 points
• danr2049: outscore them by 26.9 points
• PtownWarren: outscore them by 73.8 points
• ryanvhill: outscore them by 7.1 points
• khoa4101: maintain points lead (currently ahead by 12.6)
• chenry3: outscore them by 93.5 points
Understanding Your Playoff Chances
Playoff %
Calculated via Monte Carlo simulations accounting for team strength, schedule, and variance.
Magic Number
Wins needed to mathematically clinch a playoff spot, regardless of other outcomes.
Playoff Scenarios
Schedule-validated paths showing exactly what needs to happen. All scenarios verified for feasibility.
Current Seed
Your standings rank based on current record and tiebreaker rules.
Projected Wins
Expected final record based on team performance and schedule strength (with range).
Mathematical Elimination
Only appears when playoff qualification is impossible, even with perfect remaining results.
Advanced Algorithm: Playoff scenarios use max-flow network analysis to validate that all requirements can be satisfied simultaneously given the actual game schedule. Impossible scenarios are automatically filtered out.